Ive had 2 2.5's (2.5 dbl oh cam) that the head gasket(s) went south.
Here is the story.
1St time.. long drive down to Great Falls and Back... everything working just fine.. stop in Lethbridge, Start the car an hour later ,and the temp spikes,,, wait an hour ... same thing.. so I'm thinking stuck Thermostat or water pump fail. So drop the coolant out of the thermostat housing.. and the stat is covered in black gunk and kinka sticky...OK, drive back to calgary with no stat and water in the cooling system..no problem. At this point I also notice my overflow tank has some black gunk in it, but there is no loss of oil or coolant. Change the stat (cdn tire) new AF, all is well ... for about 6 weeks of driving around.. then another temp spike (after driving a short distance). AGAIN stat is "clogged" and sticky, so I think dummy me for going to cdn tire, buy subaru stat and af..... and that lasts about six more weeks.. Then I stop being lazy and do a leak down test--- blown head gasket drivers side.
2nd time. (different 2.5 dbl o/h cam).. Same thing, execpt now I watch for black stuff in the overflow tank, and know right away at the first temp spike, toss my stat on the garbage, put in water, and start planning to pull the engine and do the head gskts.
Funny thing is BOTH happened right around the 265,000 KM mark (like within a few thousand). My white OB now has close to 400,000 and no troubles since.
I think some of your troubles have a simillar theme...?
OH and, when I was driving around with the 2nd one, prior to pulling the stat, there seems to be some type of pressure thing going on with the stat, as it would not open (even thou it was not all that "gunked up") ... it seemed that as the car warmed up it pressure loaded the stat so it could not open ...JUST My GUESS.